Author Archives: Matt Scharboneau

Madness Explained: A Comprehensive Overview of Why Teams Make the Division I Men’s Basketball Final Four

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Bryan Fuller / MGoBlog

WHAT DOES ALL THIS MEAN?

NOTE: THIS STUDY IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN EXCEL SPREADSHEET LISTING ALL FINAL FOUR TEAMS FROM 2002-2016.

First and foremost, the only teams listed in this study and its accompanying spreadsheet are teams that made the Final Four (the champions are in bolded text in the spreadsheet). The figures of “Efficiency Margin” (EM), “Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE)”, “Adjusted Defensive Efficiency” (AdjDE), “Luck”, “Adjusted Tempo (AdjTempo)” and “3PA/FGA” are all pulled from the database of Ken Pomeroy. Here are links both to his website and to an explanation of what the aforementioned statistics measure:

Ken is a preeminent mind in the field of basketball analytics and has created tempo-free and opponent quality-adjusted formulas that measure team quality in Division I Men’s Basketball. Unless otherwise stated, the teams in this particular study range from 2002-2016 exclusively because those are the only years in his database. All of the data used (except for Luck and 3PA/FGA, which were unavailable) was recorded pre-NCAA tournament and thus provides a valid analog to the numbers we will use in March to fill out our brackets.

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